Perception vs. Production: What the Numbers Actually Say About Pittsburgh's 2025 Offense
- Greg Simmons

- Jul 16
- 4 min read
Updated: Jul 17
National pundits have not been kind to Pittsburgh's offense this offseason. Bill Barnwell ranked the Steelers's; skill-position group 21st in the league. Nick Shook described the unit as “held together by chicken wire.” Kevin Clark and Mina Kimes mocked Aaron Rodgers unwillingness to push the ball downfield, and Rodgers did in fact finish 2025 with the lowest average depth of target on record. The consistent theme is that Pittsburgh's offense was not just limited, but genuinely bad. The 2025 statistical record tells a more complicated story, one where some of that criticism is exactly right and some of it does not hold up.
Where the Criticism Is Accurate
Start with the part of the narrative that the numbers confirm. Pittsburgh finished 2025 ranked 25th in the NFL in total yards per game at 305.8, a genuinely poor figure. The advanced efficiency metrics are worse than the yardage number alone suggests: the offense ranked 18th in EPA per play and 17th in success rate overall, but on standard drop backs specifically, those marks collapsed to 19th in drop back EPA per play and 26th in drop back success rate. Net yards per pass attempt checked in at 20th. Those are not the numbers of an offense being unfairly maligned. They are the numbers of passing games that struggled to move the ball efficiently on early and standard downs, which lines up directly with the criticism of Rodgers getting the ball out in roughly two seconds and rarely test defenses vertically.

Where the Criticism Overstates the Case
The “one of the worst offenses in football” framing, however, does not survive contact with the scoreboard. Pittsburgh scored 23.4 points per game in 2025, good for 15th in the league, comfortably in the middle of the pack rather than anywhere near the bottom. Yards per play told the same story at 16th, and Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt, a passing metric that has predicted all but one Super Bowl winner since 2000, had Pittsburgh at 16th as well, essentially dead average. None of those are numbers belonging to the bottom-five unit, and they cut directly against Barnwell's No. 21 skill-position ranking and Shook's chicken-wire description.
The offensive line's passing protection numbers are the clearest example of perception lagging reality. Pittsburgh allowed just 31 sacks all season, and by the end of the year the unit had posted the fewest quarterback pressures allowed and the lowest pressure rate allowed in the NFL, finishing third in pass-block win rate. That is not a marginal distinction. A line that protects its quarterback at a top three rate in the league is doing one of the hardest jobs in football at an elite level, even while playing in front of a passing game that critics correctly identified as unambitious.
Ball security tells a similar story. Pittsburgh threw 31 touchdown passes against just 15 interceptions, roughly a two-to-one ratio, and the team's overall turnover differential sat at a healthy plus-12 on the season. An offense that takes care of football at that level is not the disaster its national reputation suggests, whatever else can be said about its explosiveness.
The Real Story Is a Gap Between Process and Result
The most telling number in the entire data set may be the size of the gap between Pittsburgh's yardage ranking and its scoring ranking. Steel Curtain Network's own statistical review noted the Steelers finished 11 spots better in points per game than in yards per game, one of the largest positive gaps of that kind in the league. Historically, that kind of gap is difficult to sustain, since it depends on unusually strong red-zone execution, low turnover rates, and Pittsburgh's defense manufacturing short fields, rather than an offense consistently marching the length of the field. In other words, Pittsburgh's offense was not secretly great and misjudged by outsiders. It was a middling, yardage-starved unit that scored like a middling one anyway because it protected the passer well and rarely gave the ball away, propping up numbers that a purely explosiveness-based eye test would never have predicted. That distinction matters, because it explains why both sides of this debate have a legitimate claim. Analysts watching the tape saw a conservative, check-down-heavy passing attack with almost no vertical element, and the advanced drop back efficiency numbers back that read up completely. Fans and defenders of the unit pointing to points scored, turnover margin, and pass- protection grades are also using real, accurate data. Neither side is wrong. They are simply measuring different things, and the gap between those two measurements is precisely what a new coaching staff is being asked to close in 2026.
The Verdict
Pittsburgh's 2025 offense was not one of the worst units in football, and the numbers that would support that specific claim, scoring rank, yards per play, and adjusted net yards per attempt, all land in the middle third of the league instead. But the more specific, more frequently repeated criticism, that Rodgers played an ultra-conservative, short-passing style that produced almost no explosive plays down the field, is not media exaggeration. It is directly supported by the Steelers's; bottom-quartile finishes in total yardage and drop back efficiency.
The fair conclusion sits between the two extremes: Pittsburgh's offense in 2025 was a below-average process that produced an average-to-decent result, kept afloat by elite pass protection and disciplined ball security. Whether that formula holds up again in 2026 with a new play-caller and a different set of skill-position weapons is the real question the offense needs to answer, not whether last year's unit deserves the “chicken wire” label some of its harshest critics have already attached to it.







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